Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.834583 19.617935 22.645527 26.174075 30.163728 34.524938 39.642806
2025-02-23 11.934723 15.694137 20.205446 25.971318 33.093511 41.548374 52.284675
2025-03-02 9.069008 13.159822 18.470728 25.764680 35.399825 47.557722 63.903208
2025-03-09 7.162786 11.321637 17.097042 25.521001 37.277825 52.858555 74.771876
2025-03-16 5.417828 9.301416 15.052304 23.926020 36.951403 54.994416 81.409338
2025-03-23 4.703110 8.648602 14.807488 24.752101 39.945967 61.734711 94.638422
2025-03-30 4.193961 8.212439 14.791711 25.853783 43.360905 69.234480 109.364130
2025-04-06 3.465458 7.261091 13.799499 25.270122 44.099089 72.798888 118.536184
2025-04-13 2.771078 6.229991 12.508207 24.007196 43.585102 74.352135 124.705328
2025-04-20 2.561669 6.076832 12.713704 25.265574 47.218248 82.493739 141.346073
2025-04-27 2.421087 6.033608 13.103504 26.865949 51.520084 91.925052 160.485345
2025-05-04 2.164111 5.697275 12.890904 27.342207 53.910243 98.382354 175.217720
2025-05-11 1.863691 5.231335 12.409117 27.357239 55.656954 104.165637 189.678456
2025-05-18 1.572992 4.729276 11.790556 27.059848 56.857635 109.191415 203.354932
2025-05-25 1.334272 4.295651 11.244465 26.829802 58.143447 114.427988 217.679564
2025-06-01 1.132237 3.904224 10.723371 26.574557 59.333293 119.538947 232.041480
2025-06-08 0.881467 3.305111 9.616253 24.922527 57.619611 119.286128 237.002250
2025-06-15 0.804092 3.192523 9.655107 25.777838 60.978569 128.498985 259.188372
2025-06-22 0.748151 3.132275 9.814334 26.918392 65.003848 139.173802 284.520869
2025-06-29 0.624718 2.814197 9.252563 26.314155 65.318635 142.824808 297.215206
2025-07-06 0.496261 2.432262 8.444153 25.006473 63.991201 143.194772 303.814358
2025-07-13 0.471350 2.425343 8.684467 26.309445 68.477763 155.210317 332.845339
2025-07-20 0.457832 2.459764 9.050118 27.966073 73.868992 169.293549 366.403187